Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.399686 0.441044 0.485405 0.536615 0.594215 0.657126 0.731212
2025-06-29 0.329552 0.386165 0.451274 0.532080 0.630205 0.746166 0.894562
2025-07-06 0.280381 0.341431 0.414878 0.510472 0.632651 0.784990 0.991523
2025-07-13 0.256706 0.322734 0.405215 0.516967 0.666194 0.861114 1.139155
2025-07-20 0.237907 0.307317 0.396851 0.522439 0.696677 0.933801 1.287782
2025-07-27 0.222475 0.294318 0.389656 0.527591 0.725662 1.005479 1.441073
2025-08-03 0.208547 0.281813 0.381539 0.529902 0.749725 1.071108 1.591261
2025-08-10 0.197406 0.272035 0.376030 0.534827 0.777140 1.143122 1.757985
2025-08-17 0.182839 0.256187 0.360463 0.523282 0.778138 1.174129 1.861608
2025-08-24 0.174933 0.249304 0.357224 0.529653 0.806768 1.250290 2.047415
2025-08-31 0.165359 0.239227 0.348383 0.526411 0.819393 1.301067 2.194607
2025-09-07 0.158306 0.232417 0.343908 0.529474 0.842152 1.370204 2.381608
2025-09-14 0.148941 0.221615 0.332743 0.521180 0.845685 1.407563 2.516490
2025-09-21 0.141072 0.212677 0.323937 0.516099 0.854246 1.454533 2.675568
2025-09-28 0.130578 0.198953 0.306583 0.495277 0.833246 1.445659 2.722938
2025-10-05 0.126461 0.195208 0.305165 0.501546 0.861105 1.529599 2.968584
2025-10-12 0.122457 0.191385 0.303325 0.506829 0.887419 1.612880 3.223521
2025-10-19 0.118679 0.187697 0.301441 0.511802 0.913407 1.697819 3.493236
2025-10-26 0.114676 0.183396 0.298217 0.514033 0.934176 1.774100 3.753740
2025-11-02 0.111363 0.180075 0.296462 0.518786 0.960164 1.863498 4.057057
2025-11-09 0.105701 0.172412 0.286637 0.507643 0.953305 1.882716 4.194558
2025-11-16 0.103099 0.169944 0.285906 0.513793 0.982172 1.981765 4.543288
2025-11-23 0.099261 0.165100 0.280605 0.510663 0.991380 2.038149 4.791585